Signing the revolution decision

Some leaders ,if not all of them pay the price of their own decisions ,especially those who are dictators , who do not listen to anyone and do not know the meaning of democracy , who consider their people only as supportive masses that only say their names in pre-organized supporting protests "We sacrifice you with blood and soul" ,those leaders from kings and presidents always make stupid mistakes and take wrong decisions and here I do not mean their decisions that are always against the people and the country , but I mean their own decisions that end their own time , that destroy them.
You see some times those leaders take decisions ignoring its results and consequences that may harm their positions as leaders in the country or even in the world paving the road to their own end

Sometimes signing these decisions is just like signing's one death certificate. It is the trap of dictators for sure especially if they do not listen to their advisors and they do not put their people's anger in their consideration , well re-reading what I have written ,I would say that this is how all dictators act.

These stupid decisions they think the people will accept just like the previous decisions , they believe that as long as the people are passive and quiet fearing from the security forces there is no fear from them , not realizing that there is some point ,there is some time people will not accept to take it anymore ,they have enough and ready to rebel against these dictators , it is just like an accumulated process where you fill a jar till the lid and you insist on filling it till it floods.

Most of these stupid decisions are economic ones , economy that affect people's earnings mainly their daily living from what they eat especially if they already live in a very bad economic situation and many sectors of the society are already living  under the poverty line , these economic decisions can be the last straw that will move the hunger revolution which by its turn an introduction to even greater social revolution

Why do dictators make these silly mistakes and why can't they predict the people's reaction ?? As I said they do not put the people in their consideration , they consider them like the dead , you must know dictators usually are isolated from the people and usually thanks to the hypocrite entourage surrounding them they are given another completely different image about the people and their conditions, the rosy image that would please any ruler.

Another important question why I started the post with all that theoretical talk , well first this is not a theoretical talk only , it happened through out history dictators always make decisions that cost them their thrones and sometimes their lives , in the politics category you got already a living example in Pakistan , in the military category you got the Saddam's decisions to invade Kuwait and in the economy category you got the famous Mikhail Gorbachev 's Perestroika and Glasnot which brought down the Soviet Union and made it from history "may be the man is not dictator but was a member in a dictatorship regime" ,the examples are many but I can't remember them all ,those came only in my mind

Second I wrote this long introduction to give you idea in advance of what I am going to say , I am sorry if you do not like it but this how I am expressing my thoughts

Now back to the real World to the land of the pharaohs

For two days now the official and opposition newspapers are circulating news saying that Mubarak is in the process to give his order to his prime minister "Ahmed Nazif" to start cancelling the governmental subsidies of the basic commodities in Egypt

This decision or intention is taken right after the visit of the world bank Chief Robert Zoellick last week and his meeting with President Mubarak as his first visit to Cairo where he stated the international organization is going to aid Egypt  in its economic reform "strangely till now we did not complete our economic reform since 1975 open door policy" !!

Some basic economic simplified facts

I-What are the basic subsidies commodities in Egypt ??

• Food : Bread , Oil,Sugar,Wheat,Rise and Milk "including the babies milk"
• Fuel ,Gas tubes and electricity
• Medicine

II-How big is the size of the subsidies in the state budget ??

• Some estimation says it is about 50 million E.P "yes I know it is huge number but wait till you read the rest of the facts"

III-What is the percentage of people in Egypt who are living under 2$ per day according to the UN ??

• 43.9%

IV-What is the percentage of people in Egypt who are living under 1$ per day according to the UN ??

• 3%

V- What is the percentage of people in Egypt who are living under the national poverty line according to the UN??

• 20% already it increased 4% from 2005 "16%" and this is considered a rapid increase in 2 years period

As you see the people who need governmental subsidies are increasing not decreasing and even these percentages some say that it is even higher ,if we are including all the country side especially the upper Egypt ,where we will get even higher numbers

Of course I did not mention other economical indicators like the unemployment rate which is increasing and the inflation rate which returned to increase again in 2007 and so on

Yes it is a burden but we need it, according to the State's budget the Subsidies are equal to 50 million E.P still according to the same government's research these 50 millions are spent on the subsidies but on other stuff for example the fancy cars of the ministers their unneeded expenditures..etc

I know that the world bank wants to help Egypt and I will not suspect their intention to aid Egypt but they will be fooling themselves if they think that there will be an economic reform in Egypt without an equivalent political reform , the world banks knows very well there is no hope as  long as this corrupted regime exists , we will be fooling ourselves if we say otherwise

Just for your information the reduction of governmental subsidies started for some time , in a gradually reduction the people did not feel it yet they began to feel the reduction during the Nazif cabinet when they began to reduce it more rapidly and at the same time they started to raise the prices for example like the bread and fuel despite the experts warning that this could lead to a hunger revolution ,and already we experienced this from 20 years ago in what President Sadaat stupidly described as the Intifida of the thieves !!! The famous protests of 1977 had happened because people in day and night found the prices were raised , of course if you read the numbers and prices then ,you will laugh , they were nothing . People were mad because one kilo of meat reached to 1 E.P as a price where as today the cheapest kind of meat is not less than 35 E.P per Kilo in Fayoum not in Cairo !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

From the size of the anger in 1977 experts are warning for even larger and more angrier masses if the prices are raised

Already I do not know how you raise prices without an equal raise in Salary !!!?? The Salary raise they announced from couple of days is not enough

Strangely Mubarak is making the opposite of what his son JR had

promised in the annual convention of NDP from two weeks ago where he appeared as the Savior of the working low classes  promising that no one will touch the Subsidies !!!!!!!!!!!

Of course the orders of the world bank are much more important than broken promises .

seriously if Mubarak reduces the subsidies and raises the prices of the basic commodities then he will open on himself the gates of hell , people will not take it anymore , it will be his stupid decision , his signature on a revolution document against his own self !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Technorati tags: Mubarak, Egypt, Economy, Subsidies, World Bank, Politics, Revolution, Poverty, Inflation, Gamal Mubarak, Nazif, National, Democracy, Citizen Journalism