Tuesday, February 17, 2015

#RIP21: Revenge , Air Strike and another day in the Middle East

And another big day not only in Egypt but also in Libya. Hours after the announcement of President Abdel Fattah EL-Sisi that Egypt got the right to retaliate for the murder of the 21 Coptic Egyptian migrant workers by Islamic state “IS” militants in the right time and place , we woke up on Monday to find that Egyptian air forces already conducted air strikes in Libya.
The Egyptian air forces conducted an airstrike against IS’ camps, training camps and arms depots in Libya according to the official armed forces’ statement on the official army Spox Facebook. The statement did not mention the location of the strike or a specific number of losses among IS militants. Just board general words and two videos showing air jet fighters taking off their hangers.
Hours later the Libyan armed forces issued a statement declaring that both Egyptian and Libyan air forces conducted airstrikes earlier today in the city of Derna, Eastern Libya. Through out the day the Libyans were the ones who were speaking and revealing information about the strike to the media. Needless to say we got two governments and two parliaments so you can imagine the confusion of who is who as well where.
Of course one must ask and wonder why the Egyptian air forces conducted an air strike on Derna and not Sirte where the Egyptian workers were kidnapped or Tripoli where they were beheaded according to the analysis of the video. I do not know why but I know that Derna was the first Libyan city to see an IS-affiliated militant group attempting to expand in the war-torn Libya. May be Derna was chosen because of it is close to Egypt and the decision to retaliate was needed to be taken quickly.
The Libyan armed forces and its men who spoke to Egyptian TV channels all day long claimed that nearly 64 IS militants were killed in the air strikes including 12 foreign fighters. 
The Islamic Police HQ in Derna By Johr Ali


The Libyan air forces commander also admitted that there were civilian casualties among the killed including two women and a child in the air strikes conducted by Libyan air forces not by Egyptian air forces. This comes at the same time Libyan Facebook pages and twitter accounts in addition to Al Jazeera TV channels reporting that Children  were killed in the Egyptian air strike. The photos of the victims caused a controversy because a Libyan Facebook page claimed that there were for children who died from several months ago when it already the page itself uploaded the photo earlier !! There is a crazy debate about the photos up till this now on the social media.
Strangely but not so surprisingly hours later the spokesperson of Libyan forces spokesperson denied there were any civilians casualties in the air strikes at all.
Derna is a city and from what I understand the targets of the air strikes were in the city itself so it is highly possible and likely to have civilian casualties.Already army sources say the weapons depots were hidden in the buildings.  
After the strike "Johr Ali" 
There were news that Egyptian air forces conducted another air strike in the afternoon but there was nothing in the official spokesperson’s Facebook page.
The other Libyan army following the other Parliament aka Islamists' GNC will retaliate against "General Sisi" denying that there is IS-affiliated group in the first place in Libya !!!

This is just crazy, I swear it is surreal. IS-affiliated groups are in Derna and Sirte and yet they deny it !!!
Now I am amazed at the speed of planning those airstrikes to the level that I wonder if our intelligence knew what was going to happen in those 45 days following the abduction of those workers and the armed forces planned in advance that strike.
You can imagine how the armed forces videos and those announcements made many Egyptians happy and proud. Today nationalist sentiments reached to the moon for real. The radio and TV kept airing nationalist patriotic songs all day long. The social media in Egypt is on fire. It was also full of rumors like Egypt would start a ground operation and would send its 999 special forces. This claim was denied later by sources in both Egyptian and Libyan armed forces. I think we should not open the Libyan front when things in Egypt are not stable.
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi’s popularity soared today as the leader who acted quickly to avenge for Egyptians , still the implications of his action today will be a bigger test for his quick airstrike. With over 100,000 Egyptians workers in Libya that should be evacuated , there will be a bigger challenge for him. 
Personally I believe those airstrikes were to calm down the Egyptian public opinion after the horrifying video at the same they are official announcement that we are involved in Libya directly after months of denying involvement.
I do not know what is going in the backstage , I do not care that much about the the MB&Qatar Vs. Egypt&UAE as all what I care for is we do not get involved in another Yemen war in the 21st century or rather a Libya war. I feel it is like trap.
Libyan Herald already claimed that at least 35 Egyptians have been abducted. There is news also that the Egyptian embassy in Tripoli was torched by IS supporters. The embassy was already closed since the kidnap of Egyptian diplomats last year.

4 comments:

  1. Agree...we dont want another Yemen or someone pretending to be nasser

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  2. So Egypt bombed IS in retaliation for beheading 21 Egyptian Copts! Awesome. High five to Egypt for having some balls. You should do that kind of thing more often, because actual hostility is absolutely the best type of practice for the air force.

    Props also to Jordan for avenging the immolation of their pilot.

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  3. Egypt should open communications with Misrata and with the cities of the Jebel Nafusa like Gharyan. These guys have relatively (in Libyan terms) powerful armed units that can help resist and displace IS loyalists. If Egypt facilitated the end of the feud/civil war between the two sides, it could tap into assistance from the ethnic Amazigh forces, from the western cities, and from the coastal plain through Tripolitania. By using its influence over Haftar and the Toburk-based government, it could reduce the mutual fear and antipathy dividing the two factions.

    Egypt does not need to wage a massive and risky air campaign or send in ground forces. Targeted assistance to factions on both sides which are resisting IS is an option.

    Egypt could, for instance, assist Misrata in dealing with the militants in Sirte and provide help to Tobruk in addressing Derna.

    Unity and functional governance in Libya can erase the space by which IS and its allies operate.

    Attacking anti-IS forces like Gharyan, Zliten, or Misrata would not be a good idea and would constitute de facto assistance for IS affiliates. Working with them against IS would be a viable plan.

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  4. How about a brief thought experiment. Imagine for a moment an apolitical soccer fan. Now, imagine the reaction if this person, along with a group of many others, was killed by IS fanatics who hated what he and his compatriots were like. Picture what the outcry would be. Without doubt, there would be massive calls for vengeance, for the destruction of the killers. It would be acknowledge that the murderers wantonly and unjustifiably killed based on their own hatreds. The fan in question would be deemed a martyr and a shining person.

    Now, picture that some soccer fan and a group of compatriots being slaughtered in a soccer stadium, or in the streets by supporters of employees of a resuscitated police state. What would the reaction be? Thunderous allegations that the fan is the most evil sort of person imaginable; that he is a vile terrorist, an IS supporter, unpatriotic, a traitor, an agent, and an opponent of the homeland. Is this not exactly what happened with the Maspero massacre, with the Port Said massacre, with the recent soccer fans' deaths?

    Can it be said that such people who flip their opinions of "empathy" with victims based on political ideology actually have any empathy whatsoever? Are they really that different from deranged cheerleaders of the IS lunatics? Could it be that they are afflicted by a similar warped mentality, even if it is not as extreme, that differs only in ideological manifestation, not in inner characteristics?

    This selective, false mask is hamstringing efforts to remove atrocities committed by extremists like IS and those brazenly perpetrated by regional police states as well.

    It is feeble hypocrisy to condemn state terrorism but to support the atrocities of the IS.

    It is feeble hypocrisy to physically, materially, and mentally support the crimes of a police state but condemn similar actions by IS organizations.

    The are both facets of the same loathsome coin/stone/whatever. To support one is to give aid and succor to the other. At the end of the day, a person either truly believes in human dignity or he/she does not.

    The mentality represented by the IS can only be truly removed from the region once people see it for what it is and stop accepting the various disguises it is packaged in. Otherwise, it will keep periodically returning in new forms, many of which will not necessarily have any religious elements.

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