Thursday, November 26, 2015

#EgyElections: The second stage is just like First stage but less noisy

And the second stage of the Parliamentary elections kicked off on Sunday and finished on Monday.
I did not write anything or cover it. I did not go to the polling stations as I have done before.
I did not do that not because I find those elections are useless and boring “Which are actually true” but because I am simply sick and have got this nasty flu and cough that did not make me sleep for days. I also had problems with ISP and internet connections that were solved today.
I do not know if it is me online, but I find people are less interested in the results of this stage in the elections.
It is less noisy in a way or another like the first stage despite we are speaking about Cairo and Delta governorates.
Despite the media coverage , the people seem to care less actually following other local and international news. I noticed that people in Egypt were interested in following the news of that awful suicide bombing in Al-Arish that targeted the elections supervising judges in their“Swiss-inn” Hotel earlier Tuesday killing at least seven people were killed. The attack that killed a judge and security personnel was important to the people than knowing the results of the elections.
The people are not even interested in knowing who won in North Sinai or how the political situation there aside from that never ending military operation.
Needless to say, there was nothing in the second stage for real.
The voters, mostly elderly at one of the polling stations waiting
By Mostafa  Bassim
I think the turnout in that phase was not that high than the first phase of the first stage.
Ironically, it seems that people forgot that there were elections in 13 governorates above them in Cairo despite all the campaigns and banners with faces of candidates.
They do not speak about the elections or discuss the results.
Still, it was in high in rural areas than big cities. Again, senior citizens were seen more often in the polling stations than youth.
More ex-NDPians and Controversial figures made it in this round.
Personally, I think we are in front of some political apathy because the majority of the people feel that there is no use as they see the old corrupted faces returning once again to the parliament using their old ways whether through electoral bribes or electoral lists.
Now here are some belated quick facts and numbers about this stage in the parliamentary race in Egypt.
Already from 3,067 candidates in 13 governorates competing over 267 seats in the 2015 parliament.
The 13 governorates were Cairo, Qalioubiya, Daqahliya, Monufia, Gharbia, Kafr El-Sheikh, Sharkia, Damietta, Port Said, Ismailia, Suez, North Sinai, and South Sinai.
When it comes to the electoral lists based seat, we had about 195 candidates in 4 lists “In the love of Egypt, Al-Nour party, the Republic alliance and Independence current” competing over 45 seats in Cairo and another 15 seats in East Delta.
When it comes to the individual seats in this stage, we had about 2,872 candidates competing over 222 seats in 102 Constituencies.
Now, 9 candidates out of those 2,872 candidates secured 9 individual seats only in the second stage.
There will be runoffs in 99 Constituencies next 1&2 December.
The “For the of Egypt” electoral list secured the 60 seats in Cairo and East Delta.
According to the High Elections Committee “HEC”, the turnout of the second stage reached to 29.83% where 8,412,000 voters only participated in the elections out of 28 , 204,255 eligible voters in 13 governorates.
The invalid votes were 572,400 whereas the correct votes reached to 7,839,000.
The turnout in the first stage was officially 26.56% in 14 governorates. We are speaking here officially about 3% increase only.
People are having their doubts about the official turnout and believe that it is lower than what HEC announced. I am not surprised.
Strangely and despite the security situation, the North Sinai governorate recorded the highest turnout in the second stage with 41% and here you can search for tribalism effect. The lowest turnout was recorded in Suez with 18%
Cairo’s turnout was 19.9% and this is considered  a low turnout officially, it comes before Suez.
Of course, we do not have an overall total turnout for these elections yet to compare with 2011-2012 elections. Still we got the stages’ turnout to see the difference.
Here is a small graph I made showing the difference between the two elections in the stages’ turnout.

In the 2011 parliamentary elections, there was a third stage.
I did not include the runoffs because the second stage’s runoffs have not been held yet.


  1. متابعه جيدة يا زنوبيا
    الف لاباس عليكى وربنا يشفيكى ويعافيكى يارب
    بخصوص الانتخابات فهى كلمة واحدة
    الناس فقدت الامل فى بكره والثقة فى اللى موجود بكافة اطيافه


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