Monday, October 9, 2006

The PYONGYANG RESPONSE


Forget the Middle East

Forget the War on terrorism

Forget Fidel and his brother

And please Forget the Iranian Nuclear program

And I bug you to forget our future peaceful Egyptian Local Nuclear program

Because Pyongyang did it , Pyongyang did it , do you hear me ? well I know you may already know ,if you don't well

In a brief simple words , Today Pyongyang "The capital of North Korea, it will be a disaster if you don't know Pyongyang and it will be a catastrophe if you don't know where is North Korea and what I am talking about"

Today Pyongyang announced yesterday night "Sunday night" the success of an underground detonation of a nuclear weapon , some say , or most the world say today this nuclear weapon is an atomic bomb , yes and by this N.Korea joins the Nuclear bomb owners and they are if I am mistaken the U.S and Russia for Sure , France and England , Pakistan and India , China and our neighbor Israel despite they didn't announce it , yet I got a book saying they got a nuclear bomb since 1960s and their first nuclear weapon was tested in Algeria's

Whether it was a Nuclear bomb or not , no one is 100% sure , but I believe it is a nuclear bomb and they had it from long time , despite the Japanese and the South Korean assurance today to the free world that the Weapon N.Korea examined didn't reach to be a Nuclear bomb as it had a limited power , as both countries and allies in the face of Pyongyang said , yet the old ex- world pole and the favorite silent ally of N.Korea Russia who confirmed that the size of that bomb is equal to one used in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in WWII , Russia spoke as it were calming down the people of the free world as that kind of bombs is old one , I don't know how this can calm down the world , already this old technology used in Hiroshima and Nagasaki killed half million human soul in few seconds !!!

I believe Russia is mocking the United States , the same thing N.Korea is doing right now

Ironically both Japan and South Korea are backing their armies right now declaring the highest security alerts in both countries , an expected reaction yet it doesn't suite this underestimation both countries declared today regarding the experiment power .

Of course I understand this underestimation is used more to calm down their people in both countries .

But if we want to talk seriously and logically both Japan and South Korea are in direct nuclear danger , of course they are in danger because of the existence of the American Military bases in both countries , but if any confront happens between those countries , it won't be nuclear for sure because of the effects of any nuclear weapon would reach to Pyongyang

The country of Kim got many other toys to use ,for example the famous Korean missiles and rockets which Israel always accuse Egypt and Syria of having them and of course Syria doesn't deny and Egypt doesn't even respond

But the real country which is in real danger is the United States of America , don't forget there is a whole ocean between the two countries .The only thing that still unknown for the rest of the world is how powerful is the North Korean Air forces and Navy , because a bomb without a transportation got no power , it needs a means of transportation a powerful one to become a real threat moving through oceans and continents . I do believe that N. Korea got this power of transportation that the United States can stand for it , at least for now , otherwise why America invaded Iraq despite it didn't represent any threat to the U.S and it is not connected to Al-Qaida from near or far according to their intelligence and it didn't have any WMD and left the real owner of WMD all that time ,trying with all peaceful ways to persuade Pyongyang to leave its nuclear arsenal ?? It is interesting to see all this time U.S and allies trying by all possible way to reach with the N.Koreans to a reasonable solution and don't have the same patience with the Iranians , despite the Iranian Nuclear program is peaceful and more important their missiles are targeted to the United States !!??

N.Korea has power ,a power that makes the American Administration angry and doubtful

Do you remember the pigs gulf crisis in 1960 between America and Cuba ?

American people fricked out and before them the American administration was in a great chaos , JFK was going to announce war ,already I studied this crisis not in political science between in Business decision Making course as an Example for the disadvantage of Group thinking , when it goes in the wrong direction

Anyway as I say Americans ,normal Americans began to build Nuclear bombs shelters in their backyard , a relative of mine lives in America ,her old house which she bought 1968 had a nuclear bomb shelter built in the time of this crisis

All that panic the Americans felt because of some nuclear missiles in Cuba , I can understand their panic , in fact it is a normal situation , two countries , two enemy countries to be specific , each one of them represent different opposite dangerous ideology , the U.S is backed up by the West world ,already it was and it is its leader , and Cuba is backed up by the Soviet Union and its east world
I believe Bush is in a worst situation that JFK , already he is not as popular as a handsome young democratic , and is chased by moral scandals from his party that give the Democrats a chance in the next presidential elections thanks to Foley and his emails , externally he stuck his armies in a swamp where they are not really needed in Iraq and he can't get out , it is the unofficial Vietnam of the 21st century , the people of the world are totally against his policies from Europe to the Middle East to Asia , When JFK was killed people in Cairo were really sad , Salah Jahin wrote a famous poem for him but now the level of hate to the American Administration reached to a historical level that wasn't reached before
And then comes Pyongyang historical announcement , to make thing worse than ever , already if you heard his speech today "The photo above is from the backstage of his speech Look to the faces of Condi and Laura , a courtesy of both Reuters and New York Times" you will notice that he still persists on using the peaceful method condemning the sudden act of one of the four remaining communist countries in the world "the other three Cuba,Vietnam and of course the red China, despite the Communists following Lenin thinking do not think of it so ".He doesn't want this to happen and he doesn't need another problem , a real one this time facing his real national security at that time.
Ironically according to this Time essay by Tony Karon last week Bush's chief negotiator Christopher Hill said that "Pyongyang would have to choose between having nuclear weapons and having a future"
Well it is now clear that Kim Jong Li made his choice , by the way the Time essay is a great one I recommend it
you after reading this quote which by the way is in consistent with Bush's famous policy and Quote in the American congress about the War of Terrorism "To be with us or against us !!
I realized that this sudden N.Korean surprise is a response on this provoking statement , at least it is provoking from the N.Korean point of view , from my point of view what is the use of having a nuclear arsenal while you are a bloody dictator ,your son and grand son visit Disney Land Tokyo while the children of your people are starving !! at least Iranian people are having a better standard of living than the N.Korean. Anyway back to what I was saying this response I believe is based upon thee famous Egyptian Proverb in Upper Egypt "I will cut my arm for the one who will twist it " , in other more clear words , you won't blackmail me with my arm ,I will cut it for you and live with dignity , Pyongyang is acting according to the same philosophy sending a direct message to the U.S saying that you won't threat me with the future ,I don't give a damn , and you want a proof , here is a small bomb to you and to your free world
Strange thing for Two weeks the free world didn't gather like this in the Lebanon July 2006 war !!
I believe what are saying now is the birth of a new world , you know like Condi's failed birth of a new middle East in July 2006 , this new world is forming from Two poles , the old one the United States and its allies and the the new one from the old ex-pole secretly "Russia",all anti-American Axis of Evil blacklisted countries "Iran ,Syria, South America Countries like Venezuela and secretly the new expected world power China"
There is a pattern ,you see all those countries got either common history and alliance as a communism club ex- members or as weaponry and expertise mutual benefits like Iran and Russia
Russia condemn as it likes , but still it gives it more power , China condemns as it like but still it gives it more power
This pole I believe is much more dangerous because we are having different ideologies not a single standing together against one ideology
The beginning of this pole I believe began to see the light in Lebanon July 2006 war
Anyway I believe this is a test Bush is having right now and from reading in his history in similar situation I believe a coward like him who invades weak countries and destroys them and steals its welfare , will simply use all peaceful ways including sending envoys to kiss the foot of Kim Li
Now back to my beloved Egypt , well People in Ramadan are busy in watching TV ,but most of the people I met and knew about the N.Korean experiment are very happy and praying to God to give the communist regime in the far East more power to break down Bush ,What do you expect from the People to react after insulting their religion !!??
Didn't I tell you that the popularity of the States is the lowest level ever because of Bush ??

5 comments:

  1. Hello!

    Interesting article and insightful observations....But.

    For the ones who don't know, I've been living in East Asia for many years and I would like to share some of my observations about the N.Korea-USA dilemma.

    Many of you would wonder why uncle Sam is almost mobilizing the troops becasue Tehran "SAID" they wanted to acquire nuclear technologies (I don't wanna be naiive here and assume it will be only for civil aplications). While N.Korea (which is an active member of the axis of evil) already "DID IT", and there is no word about any millitary response or even threat, strange isn't it?. Many people will go and say that the Americans are only concerned about islamic radical terrorism and some how becasue the oil in and around many muslim countries in the gulf, we can also talk days about the Big Middle East nightmare that've been going around in D.C for sometime.

    But from ground zero, i can tell you that the key word in the N.Korean issue is CHINA, the big fat scary red China. We all know that the Americans keep some troops, warships and bases in South Korea, and they are almost on the borders of N.Korea, I also assume that we all know that N.Korea is the strategic depth for the North Eastern China and the Chinese would never allow any American presence on their very own strategic borders, the chinese don't have sense of humor like the Arabs or the Native Americans!!!

    China has been supporting N.Korea not because of its a sister communist country, it's because they don't want to have any american troops on their borders, and on the other hand we all can see the soft american position (unlike in the middle east) against N.Korea "ACTUAL" nuclear weapons, they don't dare to piss off the Chinese awaking dragon.

    And now some Macro-Analysis, why uncle sam is so scared of little yellow guys? Is that because they have nuclear weapons? big army? huge influence? The answer is NO. The biggest strenghth of uncle Sam is the solid strong economy, shake the american economy and you can shake the world! The Chinese are actually doing that right now! A huge budget deficit in the US only because of the Chinese trade and industrial presence, China is becoming a backbone to many world industries and without them many industries will collapse. That's why when China speaks, uncle sam listens and he has to. The American freedom fighters (as they claim) would walk away from N.Korea, Taiwan, Mangolia, Xin-Jiang...etc because they don't want to (and they can't) interfere in China's backyard. But on the other hand, China still an effective regional player politically, and I think it will be a matter of time for them to take more effecive roles on the international stage and bring some balance back to the table!

    Final word: Ethics and politics have no crossroads, while economy and politics are fraternal twins!

    Cheers!

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  2. @Ahmed, The post is not as insightful as your comment , what you said is 100% true , it is more complicated to be only a political conflict you remind me with what my professor in International business was always saying it is 100% political nor 100% economic , behind every economic decision there is a political decision and behind every political decision there is an economic decision
    and but the strange thing is what China is doing right now from pretending to be so so so angry from N.Korea
    may be it is just a game after all

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  3. Thanks for your compliment Z, I'm just trying to share the little knowledge I gathered through the years by living with those great little yellow people. BTW, i don't know if you're living in egypt or not, but i want to ask you about the general sentiment of the well educated public toward the privitization process in egypt, I assume that you also have studied something about business, management, economics...etc. I heard many mixed comments and opinions through the limited resources available here about the current conditions in egypt. I'll be so grateful if you give me some inputs about that.

    Final word: I'm hungry, but there's No Free Lunch! (famous concept in financial economics...and life!)

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  4. @Ahmed , you are mostly welcomed, well I live in Egypt and I already specialized in business administration I studied Privatization in Egypt of course and I will write a post about it soon insh Allah

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  5. Hi thanks Laura for the link I will post it in post alone because it deserves so ,it is so interesting
    about the S.Korean people reaction , well I believe they try to pretend there is nothing , but believe me they do care and worry very much , but people like to appear strong

    ReplyDelete

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