Egyptian Chronicles: A Lebanese dead end

First of all here is the summary of Shekih Hassen Nasrallah 's speech of yesterday from Al-ManarTV itself "Click here"

Second here is the respond of Fouad El-Seniora on him today From both Al-Jazeera ,CNN and BBC World "You can watch part of Hassen Nasrallah's speech from the BBC"

Nasrallah accuses some members of the government in the 14th of March to plot against him and his resistance group with the United States and Israel and El-Seniora from another hand accuses the Master to plot for a coup against him.

The last 24 hours in Lebanon proved that the conflict between the cabinet of the 14th of March and the Lebanese opposition reached to a road of no where , a blocked road

It is either these or those

Let's analysis this scene

It was going to happen and everyone was seeing it but it was like don't say don't tell

First of all I expected that Hassen Nasrallah to make an outstanding speech on that day , already he was the last one from the opposition leaders to speak , Aoun, Franjiah and others came and spoke to the public and they spoke fiercely and angrily at the government , they opened their fires widely on everyone ,even Mubarak was n't left alone from Franjiah's comments , so you expect when the Master speaks ,he will unleash not fire on his opponents but a living hell , already Nasrallah's speeches are characterized to be bold,strong and easy to understand that even simple people in Egypt not in Lebanon understand them . Also in all the previous opposition leaders' speech the cabinet went crazy and angry from those guys standing in Ryad El-Salah Yard attacking them,El-Seniora was so so angry from the unacceptable rude attack of Franjiah that he wouldn't answer back !!

Second I expected an escalation from the opposition ,already I read on Tuesday on Elaph.com that both General Aoun and Master Hassen decided to escalate more from the protest to make more pressure on the cabinet in order to leave

Well I guess the first phase of escalation took place with the shocking speech yesterday , the escalation continued with the joint Friday prayer between the Sunni and Shiite in Beirut and it will continue to I don't know what with Sunday's protests which Nasrallah called the people to join it , already it is the vacation for the Christian sect and thus expect big number from the Michel Aoun's supporters

The other part the accusations "It is our than a cabinet that moves by orders from D.C"

Nasrallah accused some people without naming them in the 14th of March and the cabinet and not all of them to plot with the U.S administration and Israel to launch the July war of 2006 on Hezbollah , not that only during the war they worked as spies for the Israelis to inform them about the positions of both the weaponry ' the missiles' and the leaders including Hassen Nasrallah himself

Of course he is not stupid to throw these accusations , he mentioned an incident that took place during the war , also he kept telling over and over that he got proof and evidences and that in the right time he would reveal everything including the name

and because he cares for the unity of Lebanon he didn't mention it then , didn't mention it later but he mentions it now ,do you know why ?? because I believe the man go sick of being accused that he is a Syrian Iranian agent working for a specific agenda ,this is number one

Number two it is a fair demand for Hezbollah that protected Lebanon during to have a national unity cabinet instead of this one that has members working for Israel and the United States

Number 3 this is not the first time Nasrallah accuses the 14th of March of having some members who work with the Israelis , no no no he said and hinted for it before and I talked about that , already if you forget and I will remind you with what the Israeli delegate to UN said to the security council about Hezbollah and Syria and how he took the words of "Marwan Hamda", the minister of telecommunication and the14th of March members as a proof of Syria's control on Lebanon !! And also the statements of a man like Kamal Junbolt day and night about the Iranian support to Hezbollah and how Hezbollah is working for the Persian agenda ,an anti-western thing and it must be stopped , you all remember how the 14th of March spoke from leaders like Saad El-Harriri or Pierre El-Gemayel or Tony Shamoon,Arabs who followed the war remember very good how the 14th of March were acting ,it was as if they were with the war on their own country just to get rid from Hezbollah regardless of the destruction ,regardless of all those who paid their lives .

It is a logic thing ,without knowing hard evidence proof that this or that are spying or plotting ,it is enough to see the warm welcome to Condaleeza Rice in her famous visit in Beirut when the 14th of March had breakfast with her in the American Embassy where as the south villages in Lebanon were starving. Spying and plotting ,the master didn't lie , it doesn't need a proof ,for God sake most of those leaders in the 14th of March were the same old allies of Israel in the civil war and the invasion , it is just people tend to forget and think that other will change , but when the name of Pierre El-Gemayel comes in ,I must remember the old long relations of his family with Israel , since 1971 Mannheim Pagan used to send Christmas telegram to his family , I will remember immediately the Saber and Shattila massacre and how his brother late Bashir cooperated with Ariel Sharon to slaughter the Palestinian refugees ,in fact I will remember immediately the statement of an ex- head of the Mossad who said lately in Ha'artez that Bashir El-Gemayel offered the south of Lebanon to be included in Israel to the Israelis in order to have only the Small Lebanon of the Christians and Druze !!!

Nasrallah also accused the cabinet to put obstacles in transferring the missiles to his group and the incident he mentioned was about that

I believe the master ,I believe him

The strange thing in El-Seniora's long respond on him today ,he didn't deny or defend himself or his cabinet concerning the espionage !! he just said "Master Nasrallah knows Fouad El-Seniora very well" in a dramatic way !!

Of course he depended only on the respond of the army concerning the incident Nasrallah mentioned "I won't mentioned here I am sorry" , despite that Ahmed Fatfat yesterday didn't deny the incident .

El-Seniora kept accusing Nasrallah of creating a division between the Muslim Sunni and Shiite sects despite I believe today Nasrallah did a fantastic thing not only for Lebanon but for the unity of the Islamic world when both sects had a common Friday prayer,the Emam was a Sunni and it was great ,it made me feel that we have lots of common things more than differences ,so where is this division the 14th of March are speaking about ? on the contrary Hezbollah for the first time is speaking outside its Shiite public base to reach out for all the Lebanese ,the Sunni and Shiite, the Druze and the Christian , it speaks the one Lebanon language which made admire more and more that man from the south

El-Seniora and the future movement on the other hand are using the Sunni sect and spreading the division ,in fact if you follow the 14th of March especially you will find that they are using the word "Decision" more than in talk ,while the other team of Hezbollah is using the word of "One" more !! It is just a remark

I forget to mention something ,the respond of Nasrallah on the talk of the 14th March that he wants to change the cabinet ,to have one controlled by him , Nasrallah boldly announced that he is ready to give the positions given to sect in the national cabinet to his other allies from Sunni and Christians ,but he just doesn't want the current the cabinet

Ironically the reactions came immediately after Nasrallah's speech and some of it were surprising , for Example Junbolt , the man said that Shekih Hassen Nasrallah was given wrong information , yet he is a respectable man !!

By the way the missiles Nasrallah said yesterday didn't stop here at all , for example he said for the first time that there was a Sunni radical group that plotted to kill and they were arrested and till they got no trial !!

These statements proved something that all the attempts of reconciliation between the opposition and the cabinet reached to a dead end , yes there is the Maronite church initiative but it is too late , the opposition determined one thing and they won't let it go ,to down the current cabinet

The escalation that happened and going to happen in the next 48 hours insh Allah proves that it is not the time of the initiatives which suddenly became too many

By the way I believe the welcome of Hezbollah and other opposition groups with Pope's Safir initiative is a nice salute to the Maronite Church ,but they won't let their demands , you see they don't want a new prime minister ,a new cabinet , but also a new president whose name is Aoun , yet the 14th of March doesn't want him too , they wanted late Pierre JR instead but now there is no one else in the Christian street except Aoun with his popularity to be elected as a president , another dead end . The opposition wants better election law , the current election law I remember many were against it from all sects and the only people who got benefit from it where the current majority in the parliament another dead end !!

El-Seniora today seemed to me too fragile , look to his body language, his red face,his hands' movements , I am sorry I don't get fool with those public gathering from his home Town of Tyre , come on I am from the country who made such public gatherings with the cheer leaders

look many predicted the lose of the Hezbollah in the battle and it didn't,in fact it won

Now it is not Hezbollah ,but it is the united Lebanon ,and it is another battle