The unreal drums of war in the Middle East

The news headlines in News channels and News papers in the Middle East

"The United States is going to attack Iran"

"Iran is the Next"

"Bush threats Iraq"

"Gates says that there will be no war with Iran soon"

"Iran is involved in the attacks against the American troops in Iraq and the American administration promises a strong answer"

And similar headlines over and over

Many people believe that the United States represented in the American administration will attack Iran sooner or later.

I am sorry but despite all what the media tries to promote or what the Americans say here or there "despite all the official confirmation that there will be no attack on Iran" the United States can't attack Iran now.

How can the United States attack Iran and it already didn't control Iraq a  full control??

For God Sake the death toll of the American army in three years only reached to 3000 , and every day the death toll increases than the day before. The fifth or fourth American military helicopter had fallen down last week.

All what the Americans wanted to do in Iraq ,did n't happen at all ,their allies turned to be their worst enemy who created a civil war they don't want thanks to the Iraqi government which turned to give protection the "Mahdi army"  according to some American officers in a report on Al-Jazeera , something we already knew.

The Americans now that they are in swamp called "Iraq" and they can't get out of it easily, for God Sake Bush is requesting from the Congress 100 of billions of dollars for Iraq for his new plan who many expect it to fail as the previous plan and he may or may not get the number as he wants.

His people refuse the war , the world people refuse the war and the world countries are against the war in Iraq ,do you think that you will accept another war in Iran.

Bush can't start another war in Iran ,if he can't control yet Iraq and thank God it won't be soon

Now let's go to Iran , the American Army and C.I.A built a great powerful Army , great intelligence and great Arsenal of Weapons in order to create a rival for Nasser's Army in the 1960s ,not that only the Nuclear program of Iran was already started in the Shah era and by the American help too. Yet all these generous offerings didn't go to the Shah or to the American service on the contrary ,the revolution took place ,the Shah went in exile ,and many years of expertise in building and training army went to an enemy who consider the United States , not its administration as the Great Satan of the World and Israel must be erased from the surface of the earth !!

This great Arsenal then had to be destroyed that what the United States administration thought then , the only way was to create a war for it , but which country would be ready to fight against the Iran ??

No one except Iraq ,Saddam Hussein agreed to play the game of war , with the help of the Americans ,with the help and the money of the Gulf  ,with the Egyptian military expertise unfortunately , promoting that he were Saad Ibn Abi Wakas of the modern time,going to fight the Persian Empire for the sake of Arab Nationalism ....and he produced al-Qādisiyyah Movie yet as Prophet Mohamed "PBUH" said "Every human gets what his intentions are" , and Saddam's intentions were n't clear and innocent and were not serving the real Arabic security needs then ,he was serving the American and Israeli security needs in a protective pro-reactive manner ,Iran then didn't attack either countries , yes there was an intelligence war but it should n't be escalated to what happened

Anyhow A Muslim river blood was between Iraq and Iran , for a whole nine years , a whole decade ended by a loss to Iraq ,yes I think Iraq lost the War and Iran won ,simply because the Iranian economy wasn't affected like the Iraqi destroyed economy and more important none of the things Saddam wished to gain from that war happened !! If you look to it ,his regime is down now and he was hanged and the Khomeini 's regime is still in its place.This is a winning sign for me despite the war didn't directly say in the end who is the winner or loser , we had to wait another decade to know the results

The Iran-Iraq war showed an important fact the Iranians in modern age like in old history are tough and stronger fighters ,not less than the Arabs ,they even got something the Arabs don't have , in their wars in their history , they can be cruel ,with dead hearts in their fights ,and as the American administration can be wise enough as it can be stupid in sometimes ,they know this.

All these years and the Iranian arsenal didn't decrease on the contrary it got wider , advanced more and more , I won't speak about the Iranian Nuclear program , because I don't think Iran is going to use it nor Israel nor America ,it is just a stupid weapon stupid countries use to scare other countries from it , I am talking the Iranian Missiles like the Shahab family ,you got the airfighters they develop ,that fly without a pilot with radar recognition to it , of course there is an external help from countries like Russia beside the Persian native expertise which I don't underestimate at all on the contrary.The Iranian arsenal may be decreased its supply from the Western sources and used the eastern sources like from Chine,Russia and North Korea ,yet it is still got a big one ,you only have to watch their military parades to know that

If you are talking about the strength of the American Soldier compared to the Iranian soldier you will find that in the matter of Psychological side , the Iranian Soldier can be braver than the American because the first is ready to die as he knows that he is going to the paradise of Martyr  like the rest of us the Muslims believe as a result of dying defending our country,he defends his land and his belief ,added to the Shiite belief of Martyrdom is sacred for them in a way I guess more than any Islamic sect due to the fact that Emam Hussein is Martyr ,I remember that I once that I read they considered the war with Iraq as  "A Holy War" , you can imagine what the Iranian soldiers feeling will be if they are having a war against the great Satan who is attacking their country. By the way we all know that America will be the attacker not Iran , Iran won't attack anyone regardless of the provocation.

The Americans won't go to war against Iran and Iran is as powerful as it is now , yes with this Iranian arsenal and army ,the U.S army won't attack despite it is much more powerful , if you want a proof look to the invasion of Iraq and Afghanistan , both had what can be considered as weak armies ,sooner or later we  knew that the Americans were going to invade Iraq and Afghanistan in the end ,how much we hoped they would fail but the military power is in the American favor ,I won't speak about the other factors like the political or spiritual ,no the military

An old Painting from the Safadi Dynasty for Shah Isamil Battle I scanned

If you remember in Vietnam ,it was considered first as a weak country militarily compared to the United States but we all know how it ended

Another important factor we must put in end , Iran won't be alienated as the American administration wishes in such confront , beside the international and internal American refusal , Iran will be supplied with help forget about the Muslim world , I am talking about Russia , the old enemy , the cold friend 

Russia won't accept any more American presence on its borders on the Caspian sea ,Afaghanstan is enough , the American use of the Previous Soveit Union states' airport is enough , but another country with American troops and bases in it ,this won't be easy , they won't accepted , and thus they will stand with Iran till the end  and of course we should n't forget about China.

The United States won't attack Iran now or sooner ,may be later , I don't know ,but not as long as Iran is strong , not as long as the American army is in full control of Iraq

By the way the changes in the American Army Commandership is a step toward that purpose , but with Bush's plan in Iraq and what we have in the Middle East from Changes ,I don't think he will get to his purpose easily

What we see is just false drums of war, A war that won't happen any sooner , all what we see and hear in my point of view is a nervous war from both sides ,no more no less

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